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Volume 129, Issue 2 , Pages 314-321 , February 2005

Preoperative prediction of long-term survival after coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with low left ventricular ejection fraction

Joseph J. DeRose Jr, MD
- College of Physicians and Surgeons of Columbia University, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY
- Address for reprints: Joseph J. DeRose, Jr, MD, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, 1111 Amsterdam Ave, MU217, New York, NY 10025
Ioannis K. Toumpoulis, MD
- College of Physicians and Surgeons of Columbia University, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY
Sandhya K. Balaram, MD, PhD
- College of Physicians and Surgeons of Columbia University, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY
John P. Ioannidis, MD
- Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina, Greece
- Institute for Clinical Research and Health Policy Studies, Department of Medicine, Tufts–New England Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, Mass
Scott Belsley, MD
- College of Physicians and Surgeons of Columbia University, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY
Robert C. Ashton Jr, MD
- College of Physicians and Surgeons of Columbia University, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY
Daniel G. Swistel, MD
- College of Physicians and Surgeons of Columbia University, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY
Constantine E. Anagnostopoulos, MD
- College of Physicians and Surgeons of Columbia University, Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, St Luke's–Roosevelt Hospital Center, New York, NY
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, University of Athens School of Medicine, Attikon Hospital Center, Athens, Greece

Received 21 February 2004 ,Revised 18 May 2004 ,Accepted 24 May 2004.

Kaplan-Meier curves of patients with low EF (≤25%) according to each independent predictor of long-term mortality. A, Age. B, PVD. C, Emergency operation. D, COPD. E, Past CHF.

Kaplan-Meier curves of patients with low EF (≤25%) according to each independent predictor of long-term mortality. A, Age. B, PVD. C, Emergency operation. D, COPD. E, Past CHF.
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Kaplan-Meier curves of quartiles according to constructed HAVOC score of all patients with low EF (≤25%) undergoing CABG (n = 544).

Kaplan-Meier curves of quartiles according to constructed HAVOC score of all patients with low EF (≤25%) undergoing CABG (n = 544).
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Kaplan-Meier curves of quartiles according to constructed score S (split-sample approach) in training set of 360 patients (A) and in validation set of 184 patients (B).

Kaplan-Meier curves of quartiles according to constructed score S (split-sample approach) in training set of 360 patients (A) and in validation set of 184 patients (B).
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Algorithm for ischemic cardiomyopathy treatment according to developed HAVOC score. Patients with HAVOC scores between 3.60 and 4.05 (quartile above median of our data set) may be considered for eithe

Algorithm for ischemic cardiomyopathy treatment according to developed HAVOC score. Patients with HAVOC scores between 3.60 and 4.05 (quartile above median of our data set) may be considered for either revascularization or transplantation candidacy.
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